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Allow Me To Make A Prediction…

Via Bayou Renaissance Man, we find that Broward County Sheriff's Office is making plans for rioting following the verdict in the George Zimmerman trial:

On Monday, the Broward County Sheriff’s Office released a video calling on the public not to riot in the wake of the George Zimmerman verdict, expected this week or next in Florida. The Sheriff’s Office released a statement explaining that it was “working closely with the Sanford Police Department and other local law enforcement agencies” to coordinate “a response plan in anticipation of the verdict.”

Allow me to make a prediction:

If George Zimmerman is acquitted, some of the supporters of Trayvon Martin will riot.

If George Zimmerman is convicted, supporters of George Zimmerman… will not riot.

Make of that what you will, but I'll bet good money it's true.

Edit 7-14-2013: I was right.

Comments - Add Yours

  • Nathan Stanaway

    I agree with your prediction. I think its made based on sound analyzing of historical events… Cant argue with historical facts.

  • Too Old To Work

    I’ll make a prediction. There will be more, more violent, and longer riots in areas that have strict gun control. There will be much less in areas where the citizens can exercise their 2nd Amendment Rights.

  • PARAMEDIC70002

    Maybe the jury should find Z guilty of disorderly conduct.

    • windywilson

      Or at least breaking and entering!

  • RoCr

    Ehhhh…I say 50/50 chance of rioting if Zimmerman walks. It wouldn’t surprise me if there was some rioting, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if there wasn’t any either.

  • skidmark

    Is it bad of me to note that the bus lines do not run by here, so I will be pretty much immune to the immediacy of any riots? And even if the buses did run out this way – when was the last time you saw rioters take buses to get to the scene of the action? (OK, can we discount those flash-mobs?)
    stay safe.

    • Middleoftheright

      The cops in my area expect issues with folks in Ghetto Cruisers from Gary and the South side of Chicago coming to the rural areas to express their displeasure to the white farmers…..(see my latest post if you want) (

  • Jay MrPink VanLanduyt

    You are clearly racist. I’m calling Al Sharpton.

  • Matthew House

    Given that ‘the fix is in’… And it’s going to keep being ‘in’… maybe we -should- riot. Seems like the only wheels that get any grease are the squeaky ones…

  • Scott Kenny

    I will bet that there will be riots caused by supporters of Martin, regardless of the outcome of the trial.

  • Evyl Robot Michael

    Doesn’t take a powerful crystal ball for that prediction. I’d add to that if they convict, celebrators may get rowdy. Keep your powder dry!

  • Cassandy

    I agree. Because if Zimmerman is convicted, then the court is saying that yes, it’s still illegal to target someone, chase them down, and shoot them until dead. And if Zimmerman is acquitted, then people will riot, of course. Because Person A does not want Person B to have the right to follow Person A, yell abuse at Person A, corner Person A, terrify Person A, and then when Person A tries to defend themselves, have Person B shoot them until dead.

    Seriously. This has nothing to do with the second amendment or “gun rights”, and everything to do with being allowed to defend yourself against an aggressor, and have the aggressor be responsible for starting the whole damn thing in the first place.

    • Ambulance_Driver

      So, George Zimmerman was the aggressor. Got it.

      Please tell me… what color is the sky there in Bizarro World?

      • Cassandy

        Well, as a 130 lb white girl, if someone is following me and yelling at me, calling me names, I would count that as being aggressive. And I would be pretty scared.
        And if I tried to run away, and that person kept following me, I’d be really scared.
        And yeah, I’d try my hardest to fight back.

        But obviously we’re hearing different things, because I didn’t even realize that part of the case was in question.

        On an actual serious note, if I had the chance to redo my previous comment and make it not offensive to you, I’m actually truly interested in hearing about this from your perspective. It’s probably because I’m from a different country that doesn’t even allow carrying concealed or, in my province, handguns, but I really don’t understand your perspective. But I would like to hear it. I’m not trying to start a flame war (I’ll shut up if you want), it just really seems like there’s a lot of cultural stuff tied up in this case I just don’t understand, and if you’re willing I really do want to see where you’re coming from.

        And blue. My sky is blue :)

        • Ambulance_Driver

          We are definitely hearing different things, because George Zimmerman never chased Trayvon Martin, never yelled at him, and never called him names.

          If such claims were true, the prosecutor would have certainly made use of them.
          But he did not, because no such thing happened.

          What George Zimmerman did was what a Neighborhood Watch captain is supposed to do: he reported suspicious activity to 911. He tried to keep track of the subject from his vehicle, and when he lost sight of him, exited his vehicle to try to regain visual contact. He never chased him.
          And Trayvon Martin, who could have run home to his father’s, who was only a few houses away, instead doubled back, AWAY from his father’s house, and jumped George Zimmerman and began raining blows down on him and bashing his head into the pavement.
          That is not the act of a terrified teen just trying to get away. That is the act of someone spoiling for a fight.
          And he got shot for it.

          • Cassandy

            Ok, wow, that explains a lot. This is actually the first time I’ve heard some of that.

            Thank you for taking the time to explain that to me. I really appreciate it. I can definitely see where you’re coming from now.

            Um… if I’m not pushing my luck too far, is it ok if I ask why you believe so strongly in the second amendment? I’ve been reading for a couple of years, and I’ve always wanted to ask. I get part of it, but there’s another part I just don’t get. It’s another one of those things with lots of cultural depth that I don’t understand. If this is too much or too far, please let me know. I really don’t want to bother you, and I really do appreciate you replying to me.

            Thank you again!

          • Ambulance_Driver

            The cultural thing is the biggest hurdle. It is hard for people from other countries to understand American culture, even our staunchest allies.
            The first thing to understand us that our Constitution, unlike that of most other countries, is a *limiting* document. It does not set up the powers of our Federal government, it LIMITS them. It expressly states that our government only has the powers that we, the citizens, deem appropriate.
            Now, you may regard that as merely semantics, and I’ll agree that time has diluted and corrupted our founders’ original intent, but a great many Americans still believe that we tell the government what to do, not the other way around.
            Early on, our founding fathers sought to codify a set of basic human rights that our government may never infringe.
            The drafters of our Constitution believed, as do still a great many Americans, that those rights are not *granted* by the government. They believe they predated the American Revolution, and indeed, organized government in general. They believed that ALL people, regardless of their country of residence, have these rights.
            These rights became our first 10 amendments to our Constitution, the Bill of Rights. They are basically the grievances over which we fought a war against the oppressive British crown.
            Second among these amendments was the right to keep and bear arms. It recognizes our basic human right to self-defense and the best tools for that, even if the entity we are defending ourselves against is OUR OWN GOVERNMENT.

            There are others too numerous to list here, but the synopsis is, our Bill of Rights is our founding fathers’ codifying the sentiment, “You’re not the damned boss of me.”
            That goes for other individuals, and most especially, our elected representatives.
            And the Second Amendment is the one specifically included to give that sentiment teeth.
            It’s as relevant today as it was 230 years ago.

          • Cassandy

            I can definitely understand that. A lot more because I’ve never really understood the “gun” specific part, and why that specifically was a big deal, but it’s a lot easier to understand with the historical context.
            Thank you very much for your patience and for explaining your point of view, I feel like I’ve learned a lot today.
            Thank you :)

          • Ambulance_Driver

            You’re welcome, Ma’am.

          • Too Old To Work

            Because you only heard what the media wanted you to hear and apparently don’t have the critical thinking skills to do your own research.

            Women, far more than men, should be supporters of the Second Amendment. You’re 130 pounds. What do you think your chances would be if I, weighing in at about 90 pounds more than you, decided it would be fun to have sex with you and you didn’t want that to happen?

            My daughter in law is even smaller than you. She’s figured it out and told my son that as soon as she delivers their baby, he’s taking her gun shopping.

            She’ll have two kids to protect and knows that the best way to do that is with a gun. Neither a rape whistle or a cell phone are going to be of much help.

            Remember, when seconds count, the police are just minutes away.

          • Cassandy

            I was thinking critically enough to make an effort to see a viewpoint that’s pretty radically different than my own. Thankfully, Ambulance Driver was nice enough to explain it to me in a way I could understand his point of view, so that I could learn more. That was very kind of him.

            I still have my own opinions. They’re not the same as yours. That should be ok with you.

          • Too Old To Work

            That’s the great thing about America, you have the right to be completely wrong.

  • sonia

    I predict guilty of manslaughter, just heard from a woman who was sitting near the jury said the prosecution got to some of the jurors, they were tearing up or near it. So that makes me believe they will give him manslaughter. Don’t think riots will occur

  • Cath

    I understand Cassandy very well. I really enjoy your blog, AD, but when guns are the issue, I have nothing to contribute to the debate. European history is full of people seeking the good life in the US. Often these people were poor, victims of sometimes wrongful persecution from their governments with no means to defend themselves. I understand why the right to defend yourself and your property became very, very important to the people of the new republic. This is important to americans, and not very easy for me to grasp. Culture is a big issue, even inside the “free, western world” :-)

  • Scott Kenny

    While my dad tends to classify the Idaho Statesman as a horribly conservative paper, this editorial cartoon caught my eye: (Apparently first shown in the Miami Herald on 11 July)

  • Too Old To Work

    I’m sure that the farmers will have an appropriate response for this sort of activity.

  • Too Old To Work

    Brother, you get no points for predicting a riot in Oakland, CA. While their baseball and football teams might suck, they are league leaders in general lawlessness and rioting.

    • mpatk

      Agreed. The only way to tell the difference between the “riot” and a typical Oakland night is that last night was better organized.

      • Ambulance_Driver

        True. Oakland being Oakland, they’d have probably rioted either way. ;)